Archive for April 29th, 2009

29th April
2009
written by Mike

Ann Brown over at the AZ Star did an opinion piece this weekend about the benefits of regional government.

It’s time for Tucson — and I use that to describe the entire region — to put aside petty differences, step away from feifdoms and collectively roll a boulder. If our community does that, I believe we can get to the top of the hill.

One of our favorite blogs Antiplanner.com is often referenced here on Tucson Choices. The author brings forth great arguments and ideas.  He tackled regional government a while back and I thought it would be worth posting it.  I’m not sure if regional government is the answer here in Southern Arizona or not. Given our lack of leadership I doubt real discussions will take place. The large portion of unincorporated areas is probably the biggest barrier we have to success. Let’s solve that one first then discuss regional government.

Glaeser Stumbles on Regional Governments

posted in Regional planning |

A year ago, New York Times Magazine called Harvard economics Professor Edward Glaeser “the most exciting urban researcher in half a century.” Many of Glaeser’s research papers show that land-use regulation, not demand, is the primary cause of unaffordable housing.

This work has made Glaeser something of a hero in the antiplanning movement, and I’ve unsuccessfully tried to persuade him to speak at several of our conferences (although one of his co-authors, Bryce Adam Ward, gave an excellent presentation at the 2006 Preserving the Amercan Dream conference).

So it was with great disappointment that I read his latest paper latest paper, “Do Regional Economies Need Regional Coordination?” He argues that, since local government regulation is driving up housing prices, one solution is a regional government that could give local governments direction or incentives to provide affordable housing. Residents of Portland, Denver, and other cities with strong regional governments will find this bitterly amusing.

The East Coast was famous for the affordabilty of its post-war housing markets. Housing in the New York and Boston regions did not become unaffordable until the 1980s.

 

In the Boston area, where Glaeser lives, most land-use planning is done by local governments. Last year, Glaeser co-authored a reporton Greater Boston showing that those local governments had individually passed increasingly stringent rules that shut down homebuilders and drove up housing prices. So, having experienced the problems created by local government but nothaving studied the problems created by regional government, Glaeser imagines regional government can solve the problem.

“Regional land use planning could reduce the costs on localities of maintaining their own land use systems,” speculates Glaeser. “The bigger advantage from regionalism lies in the possibility of pushing localities to better internalize the costs of their land use decisions.” Notice that he is saying these things could happen. But he doesn’t give any reason why they would happen. He gives lots of reasons why local governments make housing unaffordable, but never stops to think that those same forces will apply to regional governments.

The experience we have in Portland, Denver, the Twin Cities, and other urban areas with strong regional governments is that they do exactly the opposite of what Glaeser suggests. First, rather than save money, regional governments impose a whole new set of rules on local governments and thereby drive up their planning costs. Second, rather than push local governments to improve housing affordability, the regional governments are too easily captured by interest groups that want to reduce affordability.

Glaeser correctly recognizes that regional governments can create incentives for local governments. But he fails to realize that they also create incentives for others. If you give someone the power to control housing policy over an entire region, you give lots of interest groups an incentive to try to influence that policy. Homeowners who want to increase the value of their property, environmentalists who want to curb sprawl, and downtown and inner-city property owners who want to reduce suburban competition are just some of the groups who will try to boost housing prices.

If anything, local governments are more likely to maintain housing affordability by competing with one another to attract new residents. When this doesn’t happen, it is usually because some state law motivates local governments to do the opposite. For example, California’s proposition 13 has convinced local city councils and county commissions that residential doesn’t pay for itself, so they zone out new development. Glaeser’s home state of Massachusetts has limited the amount of land available for development by buying agricultural reserves.

Most other places where housing has become unaffordable have various forms of regional governance. Florida passed a growth-management law in 1985 that drove up housing prices in the late 1990s. Washington passed a similar law in 1991. One major exception is Nevada, where land is short because 90 percent of the state is government-owned.

So Glaeser’s idea of regional coordination is likely to be worse than the disease. I hope he will take the time to study the effects of regional governments, and look at the state laws that have contributed to unaffordable housing in Massachusetts and California, before he promotes regional coordination any further.

29th April
2009
written by JHiggins

“The entire process was so unprofessional and such a joke, I’ll never do another project in this town again. If it wasn’t for our 200 people we would have pulled out and moved to a friendlier community.”

Unfortunately these stories are starting too become a series on this blog. I had a 4 hour conversation with a local business owner on a trip back and forth to Phoenix.  This business owner is in the highly sought after manufacturing business. He has been in Tucson since he bought the company in the late 70′s. His company employs 200 people and sales are over $20 million per year. This is exactly the type of business and industry our community desperately needs.

When I asked him how it was to interact with government, I got the typical answer I hear over and over. Apparently he bought some open land in an industrially zoned portion of Tucson. He went down to the city to build his new factory and office complex. There was no neighborhood opposition (shocking, I know) and his architect designed the project to current building and zoning codes.

After 6 months of stalls, delays and outright incompetency he took his architect down to Development Services and met with the director. In the meeting the tone was unfriendly and downright hostile. Apparently some genius from Dev. Service staff did a drive by of the property and found a building had already been built -without permits. The director commented that the manufacturing facility may be required to be taken down due to potential code violations and lack of permits. His plans were being held up and nickel and dimed for breaking the rules.  Here’s the best part of the story; the staffer that drove by his project went to the wrong address! The manufacturer still had a dirt lot on his property and hadn’t moved a rock.

With no apologies, no explanationthe development plans magically started to move through the process. Rather than address the issue head on 6 months earlier a decision from the top down was made to make this man’s life hell on earth.  He saw first hand the wrath of a bureaucrat scorned.

Unfortunately, these stories happen all to often. There are undoubtedly procedural issues with the Development Services department. There are steps that can be made easier. I personally have sat on 6 or 7 different panels to try to make the process more customer focused and streamlined. The piece that we continue to dance around is the role of an upset plan reviewer, the field inspector that’s having a bad day, the unofficial word that goes out department wide to make that developers life living hell because they stepped out of line. It’s retaliation at its finest.

If Tucson ever wants to become business friendly it must start with Development Services. This department is the gate keeper and usually the only place a business truly interacts with the city. Without a permit nothing gets done.

The attitude must shift from ‘what can we find wrong with you plans’ to ‘how quick can we get you up and running and generating sales tax revenues.’

29th April
2009
written by Arizona Kid

It’s that time of year again, the election cycle at the City of Tucson is beginning.

Being a fan history, I stumbled upon a great synopsis of the race in 2001 when two Republicans, Dunbar and Ronstadt won seats in Ward 3 and 6. Emil Franzi a long time campaign strategist broke down the race pretty well.

What jumped out to me was how Dunbar and Ronstadt won the race on the growing east side. The east has the Republican and moderate votes needed to change the democratic strong hold on city politics. In 2005, the national Republican brand was loosing it’s shine and their wasn’t any major issues to get the faithful to the polls and two  upstarts, Uhlich and Trasoff won decisive victories. Ronstadt didnt’ really have his heart in the race and Dunbar stumbled late in her race and let her emotions take over. Either way both lost 60-40.

What happened in 05′ ?

1. Munger left the control of the Republican party and Judy White was at the reigns. Enough said.
2. The Democrats got their act together. They gained substantial ground under the leadership of Paul Eckerstrom.
3. There weren’t any independent campaigns to bring out the great unwashed conservative to moderate Republican base.
4. The national Republican ‘brand’ wasn’t as strong as it was in 2000.
5. According to Emil, the NRA stayed home and many of the die hard conservatives. With 20-30% turn out the guy that gets the most of their people to the polls wins.
6. With a 3-2 voter advantage toward the Dems, cross over voting didn’t happen.

What are we looking forward to in 2009?

1. Rio Nuevo – Rio Nuevo – Rio Nuevo; It’s been a mess and with elected officals continually botching the entire process some heads should roll.  Council voted recently to send TIF money to a project that the State Legislators expressly asked them not to do. If they lose the funding it’s squarely on that vote.
2. Bush is gone, things are bad, will the Obama factor make a difference come November?
3. The bureaucrats, elected officials and residents of Tucson are finally connecting the fact that a healthy business class is critical to a healthy community. They’ve  neglected, ignored to down right impeded the business community for the past few years. Is the pain enough to get a voter to try a different path?  You think I’m kidding? Google Tucson and Land Use Code, Sign Code, Development Services, new ad-rental-vendor- taxes, Certificate of Occupancy, Infill Zoning, Historic Districts, Neighborhood Preservation, funding of Department of Neighborhood Services (to the tune of $1 million per year),  loading every citizen committee with NIMBY neighborhood activists or groups like, Chicano Por La Causa, Habitat for Humanities, Casa Maria Soup Kitchen and more.
4. Police – Crime is OUT OF CONTROL! This council is dinking around with niceties that buy voters and neglecting the basics like protecting their citizens. If your city isn’t safe, houses don’t get bought, people don’t shop and your community rots from the inside.
5. Approval ratings for this council is in the low 20′s. Bush at the time of the polling was in the low 30′s.
6. The base may be fired up. A good candidate that is on the right side of the issues will bring out the right.
7. Will the business community finally get their act together and do something?
8. The Republican party has shifted to Bob Westerman. Bob and I campaigned together. He’s got a vision and a plan and he brings executive leadership from his career at Ratheon. Having been a candidate he knows what is desperatly needed. He’s inherited a mess but he’s starting to turn the ship.
9. The Citizen will soon be gone and the Az Star is loosing ground each and every day. Alternative sources of news like this blog and others are where people ar turning for their news. Jon Justice has rose to the top of morning talk because he’s found an audience that wants and alternative.

PUBLISHED ON NOVEMBER 15, 2001

Taking Council

Tucson’s leading political piranha chomps into the city election’s real winners and losers.

By EMIL FRANZI

Last week, the Republicans won their first multiple victory in a Tucson city election since 1969 (non-partisan recalls don’t count) because they ran better candidates, were better organized and, courtesy of independent committees, had more money. Democrats blew it because they ran inferior candidates, had no real message and got bogged down by peripheral issues of interest only to the fringe portions of their coalition.

While Republicans went out of their way to appeal to Democrats, Democratic candidates never gave a GOP voter any reason to cross over besides the tired old bitching about “special interests.” Voters know that everybody is supported by some special interests-Dems have trial lawyers and unions. The special interest must be named. They would have done no worse visibly running against the Growth Lobby instead of tap-dancing and not wanting to be called “no-growthers,” which is what they were perceived as anyway.

The Republicans were hardly invincible in a 3-2 Democratic town. Poll data taken by one group supporting Republicans Kathleen Dunbar and Fred Ronstadt had Ronstadt up 10 points against Democrat Gayle Hartmann, and Dunbar about even with Democrat Paula Aboud in the last 10 days of the campaign. Ronstadt blew part of his lead with a dippy radio spot that offended many by playing off the current national crisis–a ploy that burned most candidates of both parties other places this election. Fred’s spot made it sound almost un-American to criticize him and demanded that Hartmann quit the negative campaigning while the independent committee supporting him and Dunbar was running one hell of a negative campaign against Aboud. Many noticed that hypocrisy. Many inaccuracies flawed that negative campaign against Aboud, but that didn’t stop it from working, nor did Aboud’s consistently evasive responses.
THE WINNERS

· THE GOP
The Kumbaya BS coming from GOP leaders about how it “wasn’t really a Republican victory” is peculiar. The state GOP didn’t drop a 30 grand bundle on this one because they just wanted good government. They, and all the Republican voters they urged to the polls, wanted a Republican win. They got it, and their leaders should politely revel in it and use it as a base for party building.

· AT-HOME VOTING
Besides allowing election officials to pander to the lazy, the stupid and the uninterested, this politically correct attempt to raise voter turnout has another constituency besides the election bureaucracy–those with enough money to run a lengthened campaign. For now that will favor the GOP in most local elections, as it did this year. And someday it will increase voter fraud. Chicago voters know–they don’t let election officials hold onto their ballots any longer than necessary.

· THE NRA AND OTHER GUN GROUPS
The Dems simply couldn’t leave a politically irrelevant symbolic issue in a City Council election alone. There were several hundred real bodies at a couple of gun-rights rallies for Dunbar and Ronstadt, crowds that clearly outnumbered those being drawn by the heavily touted neighborhood groups, and those attending were all voting one way. If the GOP doesn’t want to claim this win, the NRA should. They worked their several thousand members well. Mayor Walkup should notice that it’ll be easier next time if these people are at least off his back.

· SHERIFF CLARENCE DUPNIK
He came out early and hard for Dunbar and later for Ronstadt. The most popular Democrat in Pima County is probably the least popular in certain Democrat circles. And the net result will be that even more candidates will be kissing his butt in 2002.

· MAYOR BOB WALKUP
Probably the luckiest man in local politics. He was standing just close enough to be able to claim he had some impact upon this election. He now has two years to come up with a program that reaches beyond slogan. Fixing some potholes would be a start.

· PIMA COUNTY REPUBLICAN CHAIR JOHN MUNGER
When the French attempted to determine who had won the Battle of the Marne, their commanding general, Joffre, responded, ” I don’t know who won, but I know who everyone would’ve blamed had we lost.” Despite his modesty over claiming it for the GOP, Munger was party chair for the biggest local Republican win in three decades. We’ll claim it for him.

· NEGATIVE CAMPAIGNING
Hartmann did it to Ronstadt; he whined and lost votes. The independent committee did it to Aboud; she whined and lost votes. It works. Get used to it–it’s only been around since John Adams and Thomas Jefferson in the election of 1800.

LOSERS

· THE NEIGHBORHOOD COALITION AND SIMILAR GROUPS
Everybody lives in a neighborhood–so? The leaders of these groups never noticed that the constituency of those who looked upon them as leaders was shrinking and they weren’t replacing it. Part of that occurred when they added superfluous issues ranging from gun control to sign codes and forgot about stuff like sidewalks and street lights. Part of it was natural attrition and burnout. And a big part comes from geography and growth–these groups are mainly from the static central city, which is being gradually swamped by the growing east side. Dunbar and Ronstadt only carried the two eastside wards–and that was enough.

When these groups get some new leaders and some new ideas, they could again be relevant.

· THE PIMA COUNTY INTERFAITH COUNCIL
Ronstadt told them to stuff it. He won. They used to scare the hell out of every local politician. They no longer do. They should read a little more Saul Alinksy about when to bluff.

· THE ANTI-BILLBOARD LOBBY
City Councilmember-elect Kathleen Dunbar said candidly (candor was another reason she won), “Nobody cares about billboards”. It is hardly a hot-button issue, but those frightened by “visual pollution” are disproportionately represented in Democratic circles. It resembles what the late Murray Rothbard said about neo-conservatives: “There are only 105 of them in the entire country, and 78 of those have syndicated columns.”

· THE GREEN PARTY>br< What party? They found a decent candidate in Ward 3, and then allowed themselves to be guilt-tripped out of running him after they’d raised money to qualify for matching funds. The stiff they took a dive for lost anyway. They proved conclusively they are nothing more than a front group for the left wing of the Democratic Party, which they should all quietly return to and quit pretending they have a separate agenda.

· STEVE LEAL AND JOSE IBARRA
They will now act as ineffective symbols. Ibarra should find that easy, as he once worked for Supervisor Raúl Grijalva, who’s made a whole career out of being an ineffective symbol, even when in the majority and Chairman of the Board.

· THE ANTI-GUN LOBBY
While the issue of gun control wasn’t the deciding factor, those who get the support of the NRA, FACT and BrassRoots like Dunbar and Ronstadt are hardly out of the mainstream and can be elected without fudging their pro-gun position even in a generally liberal town.
THE DEMOCRATS allowed the GOP coalition to grow beyond its natural boundaries while their own shrank. To regain the political initiative they lost in the last three local elections they will have to either expand existing elements or find some new interest groups willing to go along with the most vocal parts of their existing team. The temptation will be to do nothing and just wait for the GOP to screw up. Arrogant Democrats will assume they will. The brighter ones will start looking for some new allies.

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